Want to live 110? Make it to 105

Want to be a supercentenarian? The chances of reaching the ripe old age of 110 are within reach—if you survive the perilous 90s and make it to 105 when death rates level out, according to a new study.

Researchers tracked the death trajectories of nearly 4,000 residents of Italy who were 105 and older between 2009 and 2015 and found that the chances of survival for these longevity warriors plateaued once they made it past 105.

“Our data tell us that there is no fixed limit to the human lifespan yet in sight…”

The findings, which appear in Science, challenge previous research that claims the human lifespan has a final cut-off point. To date, the oldest human on record, Jeanne Calment of France, died in 1997 at age 122.

“Our data tell us that there is no fixed limit to the human lifespan yet in sight,” says senior author Kenneth Wachter, a professor emeritus of demography and statistics at the University of California, Berkeley. “Not only do we see mortality rates that stop getting worse with age, we see them getting slightly better over time.”

Specifically, the results show that people between the ages of 105 and 109, known as semi-supercentenarians, had a 50/50 chance of dying within the year and an expected further life span of 1.5 years. That life expectancy rate was projected to be the same for 110-year-olds, or supercentenarians, hence the plateau.

The trajectory for nonagenarians is less forgiving. For example, the study found that Italian women born in 1904 who reached age 90 had a 15 percent chance of dying within the next year, and six years, on average, to live. If they made it to 95, their odds of dying within a year increased to 24 percent and their life expectancy from that point on dropped to 3.7 years.

Overall, the researchers tracked the mortality rate of 3,836 Italians—supercentenarians and semi-supercentenarians—born between 1896 and 1910 using the latest data from the Italian National Institute of Statistics.

They credit the institute for reliably tracking extreme ages due to a national validation system that measures age at time of death to the nearest day: “These are the best data for extreme-age longevity yet assembled,” Wachter says.

As humans live into their 80s and 90s, mortality rates surge due to frailty and a higher risk of such ailments as heart disease, dementia, stroke, cancer, and pneumonia.

Extreme old age linked to new gene variants

Evolutionary demographers like Wachter and coauthor James Vaupel theorize that those who survive do so because of demographic selection and/or natural selection. Frail people tend to die earlier while robust people, or those who are genetically blessed, can live to extreme ages, they say.

Wachter notes that similar lifecycle patterns have been found in other species, such as flies and worms.

“What do we have in common with flies and worms?” he asks. “One thing at least: We are all products of evolution.”

Are you ‘old’ yet? The cut-off has shifted

Coauthors are from Duke University, the Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Sapienza University of Rome, the Roma Tre University, the Italian National Institute of Statistics, the University of Southern Denmark, Duke University, and the Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research.

Source: UC Berkeley

The post Want to live 110? Make it to 105 appeared first on Futurity.

Autonomous electric ferry to enter use in Norway

The half-scale remote-control prototype of the Autoferry

Pedestrians and cyclists in the Norwegian city of Trondheim may soon have a quicker option for crossing the canal between the Ravnkloa fish market and the Vestre Kanalhavn dock. Engineers are developing an autonomous electric ferry that could be summoned like an elevator.

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Category: Marine

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Comparing 5 of the best iPhone/Galaxy smartphone alternatives

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At a glance, the smartphone market looks dominated by Apple’s iPhone and Samsung’s Galaxy. If you don’t want to buy into the big players’ ecosystems, there are alternative flagships from decent brands, which usually offer similar specs. Here New Atlas rounds up the specs and features of five of the best alternative phones: Sony Xperia XZ2, LG G7 ThinQ, HTC U12+, Huawei Mate 10 Pro and OnePlus 6.

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Category: Mobile Technology

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Pitbull military drone-jammer is ready-to-wear

The Pitbull drone jammer (right) along with the Wingman 103 drone detector

We’ve seen portable drone-jamming devices before, although they tend to take the form of big guns that would be a hassle to carry for long distances. The new clip-on Pitbull, however, is designed to be worn by dismounted soldiers for hours at a time.

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Nissan and Italdesign team to create a prototype "GT-R without limits"

The GT-R50 has a combination of Liquid Kinetic Gray and Energetic Sigma Gold finishes

Here’s an unexpected but welcome addition to the weekend: Nissan and Italdesign have teamed up to create a special edition GT-R. The first collaboration between the Japanese automaker and the Italian design house, the GT-R50 is a custom prototype celebrating 50 years of both Italdesign and the GT-R. The stunning piece of 710-hp artwork leaves us asking, Why haven’t these guys been working together for the entirety of the past half century?

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DESIGN ASSOCIATIONS & ORGANIZATIONS • Re: Design Awards

To be honest, I have been to the Red Dot design museum in Essen and it feels very corporate, all this is to keep the for-profit organization running and provide you with a meagre marketing benefit of using the awarded logo. These awards are overrated in 2018.

The good news is, today is the 11th World Industrial Design Day!
This is a more neutral initiative by the World Design Organization.
The theme this year is design for UN goal #3, people’s social, mental and physical health.

So let’s pick the best innovation of the year according to the theme.
My pick is Zipline if only because of the impact of it, drone-delivery of medical packages across the country of Rwanda.

What is your pick?


projects • Re: Newly Released Work (All Product Types)

Here’s the Montreal shirt design. Did the bibs too.

The 2018 race shirt celebrates the great history of design in Montreal. From the world famous Expo ’67 and 1976 Olympic identities, to the current city logo, modern graphic design has long been a part of the city spirit. You don’t have look any further than the iconic geometry of the Biosphere, designed by Buckminster Fuller (visible on the race route), to see this.

Like the Biosphere, the highly visible MTL shirt design features bold lines and geometry and encourages the viewer to “read between the lines” of the graphic to channel a philosophy familiar to runners of all ability – “Be Bold. Be Strong. Keep it Simple.”

R